When academics and policy makers, anyone really trying to improve the conditions of our present society by taking action that will hopefully result in a better outcome in the future, we have got to ask ourselves what is evidence-based policy? By looking at the past and the present conditions alone, we are limiting our understanding of the forces that we assume will remain unchanged so that our intervention will have the desired effect at some time in the near or distant future.
I am not convinced that planning for the future by reactionary measures alone will result in good outcomes, it is a limited method albeit "pragmatic".
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